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paper 44

Security in Cyprus: Threat Perceptions, Possible Compromises and the Role of the EU

by Jerry Sommer

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Deutsche Zusammenfassung

List of Contents

Executive Summary

1. Introduction
2. A short history of the Cyprus conflict and the differing security perceptions of both sides
3. The Annan Plan and the referenda
   1.The Annan Plan (general content) and basic compromises
   2. The security provisions of the Annan-Plan: Radical demilitarisation
   3. The referendum in the North
   4. The referendum in the South
   5. Current situation: No new negotiations in sight
4. The threat perception of the Greek Cypriots and their demands
   1.The threat perception
   2. Changes demanded by Greek Cypriots concerning the security provisions of the Annan Plan
5. The threat perception of the Turkish Cypriots and their attitude toward the Greek Cypriots’ demands
   1.The threat perception
   2. Turkish Cypriots’ view on the Greek Cypriots’ demands for changes in the security provisions of the Annan Plan
6. Assessment of threat perceptions of Greek and Turkish Cypriots and possible compromises
   1.Assessment of threat perceptions
   2.Room for compromises in regard to security
7. The role of the EU in the Cyprus conflict
   1. History of EU involvement until the referenda
   2. Excursion: EU financing bi-communal activities in Cyprus
   3.The EU after the rejection of the Annan-Plan
   3.1 Efforts to end the economic isolation of the Turkish
   3.2 The validity of Greek Cypriots’ objections
   3.3 May 2005 – Towards a new, more active, role of the EU
   4. Difficulties for an active EU role: inter alia the controversy about the EU membership of Turkey